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The Way To Early Runner By Runner Guide To The Gold Cup

Al Boum Photo

Last years winner and Punchestown Gold Cup runner up, follows the same trajectory as last year’s famous win. Massively respected but, has made a mistake at the same fence in the RSA and last years Gold Cup. This year he might not be so lucky. So, based on current odds he is worth taking on.

Alpha Des Obeaux

Admirable 12-year-old, who will be aimed at the Aintree Grand National, this will be a prep and nothing more. Getting around will be an achievement. Can be discounted.

Balko Des Flos

Hasn’t won since the Ryanair in 2018. Hasn’t really looked like winning either. Would be amazed if he runs. Put a line through.

Bellshill

Won Irish Gold Cup before failing to complete in this last year. Didn’t show much hunger at Leopardstown this time round. Yard have better chances.

Bristol De Mai

Third last year when race slightly fell apart. Lost unbeaten record at Haydock this season behind exciting type. Maybe on the downgrade. Overlooked unless extreme testing conditions.

Cepage

Can’t win handicaps off mark of 155, won’t run and wouldn’t have a chance. What a waste of an entry.

Chris’s Dream

Had the world at his feet this time 12 months ago. Disappointed since. Won competitive handicap really well. Need to see him do it at top level. Maybe Dublin Racing Festival or Red Mills chase before committing. Looked progressive but head says will be lapped.

Clan Des Obeaux

A great Kempton horse, not a Cheltenham Gold cup horse. If he were mine, I’d run him in the Ryanair.

De Rasher Counter

Ladbroke Trophy winner, usually a good sign, but this year was a bad renewal. Looks set to run on trials day. Judgement reserved until then.

Death Duty

Hasn’t been seen since Leopardstown 2017. Will the fire still burn?

Delta Work

Savills Chase winner over Christmas, definite player although is he genuine enough to see out this test. Fell into a hole when hit the front in RSA and had to be landed on the line to beat a non-stayer at Leopardstown. Contender with plenty of downside.

Discorama

Dour stayer, maybe a tilt at Grand National. National Hunt Chase bodes well in this race. EW player.

Elegant Escape

Second in Ladbroke, Sixth in Welsh National, Last year was probably the year and shown to not be good enough, Similar to Bristol De Mai, would have a chase if ground was bottomless.

Frodon

Similar to Elegant Escape, probably should have ran in this race last year. Doesn’t appear to have maintained level of form this season. Stick a line through.

Jett

Another one just making up the numbers. No chance.

Kauto Riko

Ambitious Owner and Trainer. Needs to improve.

Kemboy

Exceptional winner at Aintree and Punchestown last year. Fell in this and 4th in JLT previous year. Nothing spectacular about return. Shortlisted.

La Bague Au Roi

Grade One novice winner. Looks as if she wants no part in racing going forward and track reservations. Unlikely.

Lostintranslation

Super novice whose bubble burst at Kempton, toying with wind. Where would he have finished in RSA. Definite player.

Mister Whitaker

Owners with too much money.

Monalee

Non stayer, as much as Henry and team pray, he sees it out. A 2m6.5-furlong Gold Cup would be perfect.

Native River

Previous winner, beat little at Aintree, headgear reached for. Would be disappointing if he came out on top. Place chance.

Presenting Percy

RSA winner from 2018, never got a good run at it last year. Taking plenty on trust that he can recover past glories. Christmas was step in right direction. Needs to continue to run. Would have a chance.

Real Steel

Won at Down Royal on seasonal reappearance, 4th behind Min next time. Is this trip the answer, maybe, more likely to run in Ryanair. Would be of interest at a big price.

Road to Respect

Had well documented issues last year, but this test is not what he wants. Likely to be rerouted to Ryanair.

Saint Calvados

Why?

Santini

Where is he? Would like to see him have a couple of runs. Is solid and potentially built for this but appears to be fragile.

Shattered Love

No chance, will head to Mares Chase 2021.

Sizing John

Ran with zest on hurdle comeback, but far from ideal. Potential to be involved assuming plenty.

The Conditional

Grand National hopeful, could sneak a place.

Top Ville Ben

Only race for him, will be found out.

Current Odds
Al Boum Photo 5/1
Kemboy 7/1
Clan Des Obeaux, Lostintranslation 8/1
Santini, Delta Work 10/1
Presenting Percy 12/1
Native River 20/1
Monalee 25/1
Road To Respect 33/1
Chris’s Dream 40/1
Bristol De Mai, Elegant Escape, Bellshill, Frodon, Real Steel, Sizing John 50/1
Death Duty, Balko Des Flo, Shattered Love, Top Ville Ben, De Rasher Counter 66/1
Mister Whitaker, The Conditional, Cepage, Saint Calvados, Discorama, Jett, Kauto Riko 100/1

Recommendation

Al Boum Photo will give you a great run, be he appears vulnerable. Maybe that’s just me but I can’t back a horse off the back of a Tramore prep. Kemboy has super form, but not at the track. Delta Work doesn’t appear to stay this test, while Santini is on the side of milk cartons. Clan Des Obeaux doesn’t have the course form while Presenting Percy needs to prove he is the horse everyone thought he was. Lostintranslation however before Kempton was the horse for me and I am more than willing to forgive. He just didn’t seem the same horse. Tizzard knows what it takes. Three to keep on side
1 Lostintranslation
2 Discorama
3 Real Steel